Friday Morning Update

Once again we're tracking a complex of thunderstorms moving across the state this morning along with a few isolated storms in northern OK.   The chance for heavy rainfall and severe thunderstorms producing hail and wind will remain for the next few hours.  This pattern of late night and early morning storm complexes ( MCS) will remain for the next few days.  Afternoon highs are expected to move into the mid-80s today with east or northeast winds this morning and southeast winds this evening.   

The forecast is very messy due to the various outflow boundaries and synoptic front that will be near the area today and this weekend.  The real front appears to be near the area this morning but should slide slightly southward later today.  This morning's complex developed across the high plains of Texas and should move eastward across central and possibly southern OK later this morning.   We're also tracking a few isolated strong to severe storms across northern OK this morning.  Our forecast will keep the high chances for thunderstorms in the forecast this morning, and then late tonight into Saturday morning, and Saturday night into Sunday morning.   The exact positioning of the expected activity is impossible to peg at this point, the trend should be for thunderstorms to gradually expand southward by Saturday night.  After the early Sunday morning time period, the synoptic front should be located south of the Tulsa area and most thunderstorm activity will be migrating southward during the day Sunday.  This means we "may " get a break Sunday afternoon for a while, but by Monday morning our rain and storm chances may be ramping back up across the eastern third of the state for a few hours.    There will be another system nearing the state by the middle of next week and the storm chances will be included for late Wednesday night into Thursday.  A rather active weather pattern for the next several days. 

Any of these storm systems could produce heavy rainfall, hail, and damaging wind gusts.   

Temps will be in the mid or upper 80s today with Saturday morning lows in the 70s.  Sunday afternoon highs may finally drop a few degrees with readings in the upper 70s to lower 80s after morning lows in the lower or mid-60s.   

The official high in Tulsa yesterday was 89 recorded at 5:42pm.

The normal daily average high is 85.

The normal daily average low is 65.

Our daily records include a high  of 106 from 1911.  The daily record low is 50 from 2000 and also 1998.  

You'll find me on Facebook and Twitter. 

I'll be discussing the forecast on numerous Radio Oklahoma News Network affiliates across the state through the morning hours. 

You'll also hear our forecast on several Tulsa metro stations including KMOD, The Twister, The Beat, and The Buzz.   We're proud to partner with these Clear Channel Communications stations in the Tulsa metro.  

Thanks for reading the Friday morning weather discussion and blog. 

Have a safe and nice Friday. 

Remain aware of your weather surroundings. 

Alan Crone

KOTV